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Home/News/Derivatives
DERIVATIVES NEWS

Derivatives News for Derivatives Traders

Derivatives-specific news covers exchange launches, new perpetual futures products, margin policy changes, liquidation events, and structural shifts in the crypto derivatives landscape that directly affect trading conditions.

95 articles tagged "derivatives"

RegulationDeFiMacroBitcoinEthereumDerivativesInstitutional
BULL7h ago

BlackRock Staked ETH ETF: What ETHB Means for Perps

BlackRock has launched ETHB, a Nasdaq-listed staked Ethereum ETF offering spot ETH exposure plus staking yield at a waived fee of 0.12% on the first $2.5 billion AUM. For perp traders, the product introduces sustained institutional long ETH demand that could push funding rates higher and expand open interest. Basis traders and short-side participants should reassess their ETH exposure in light of BlackRock's growing TradFi distribution reach.

ETHBTC
BEAR7h ago

Ray Dalio: Why Bitcoin Can't Replace Gold

Ray Dalio argues Bitcoin cannot replace gold due to gold's institutional legitimacy, central bank demand, and millennia of monetary history. For BTC perpetual traders, this reinforces that BTC behaves as a risk asset, not a safe haven, with funding rates and open interest vulnerable to sharp compression during macro stress events. Altcoin perp markets carry even higher cascade risk under this framework.

BTCETH
BULL8h ago

BlackRock ETHB Staked ETF: ETH Perp Market Impact

BlackRock launched ETHB, its first staked Ethereum ETF, on Nasdaq on March 12, 2026, offering investors combined spot ETH exposure and on-chain staking rewards at a temporarily reduced fee of 0.12%. For derivatives traders, the product introduces new spot demand pressure, potential funding rate shifts, and supply reduction dynamics from staked ETH lockups. The launch could also catalyze broader altcoin perp market activity, particularly in liquid staking-related tokens.

ETHBTCLDO
—8h ago

BTC Holds $70K but $20K Puts Signal Tail Risk

Bitcoin is holding near $70,000 despite rising oil prices and bond market stress, but nearly $800 million in open interest at the $20,000 put strike on Deribit signals that some traders are positioning for extreme downside. Most of that positioning reflects short puts rather than directional bearish bets, though the macro backdrop — including a MOVE Index surge to 76 — warrants caution for leveraged perp traders. Declining excess leverage in BTC markets offers a constructive near-term signal, but clarity on macro catalysts remains essential before positioning aggressively.

BTCETHSOLXRP
BEAR8h ago

Binance BTC Futures Volume 5x Spot: What It Means

Binance's futures-to-spot volume ratio has reached 5.1x, its highest level since mid-2023, signaling that leveraged positioning now dominates BTC price discovery over organic spot activity. On-chain data compounds the bearish read, with apparent demand at -30,800 BTC on a 30-day basis and whales having sold 66% of their accumulation into the $74,000 rally. For perp traders, the structural setup points to continued short-duration volatility, elevated liquidation risk, and a market biased toward further downside.

BTCETH
—9h ago

Strategy STRC Drives 7,000 BTC Buy: Risk Ahead?

Strategy's STRC perpetual preferred stock, yielding 11.5%, drove an estimated 7,000 BTC in purchases this week and over 34,000 BTC in total accumulation since launch. While the instrument provides a non-leveraged spot bid supporting BTC prices near $70,000, Two Prime CEO Alexander Blume warns the 6%-plus Treasury spread implies embedded structural risk. Derivatives traders should monitor STRC par value stability, negative BTC funding rates, and emerging DeFi integrations built on the instrument as potential volatility triggers.

BTCETH
BEAR9h ago

BTC Holds $70K as OI Signals Bearish Hedging

Bitcoin is consolidating near $70,100 within a tight $69,000–$71,700 range as total crypto futures open interest climbs 2% to $102 billion, accompanied by flat-to-negative funding rates — a signal of bearish hedging rather than bullish conviction. Altcoins including SKY, TAO, and HYPE are outperforming on a 24-hour basis, though leverage remains thin. Macro headwinds from oil near $100 and a rebounding DXY add pressure to the risk backdrop.

BTCETHHYPESKYTAONIGHTXAUT
BEAR9h ago

Utah Moves to Ban Prediction Markets: Perp Impact

Utah's HB243 bill, which reclassifies prediction market contracts as gambling, is headed to the governor's desk for signature — escalating a state-federal regulatory conflict that has already produced court losses for Kalshi in Ohio and new litigation in Iowa. The CFTC's assertive stance on jurisdictional authority over these markets carries broader implications for crypto derivatives regulation. Perp traders should monitor open interest trends and CFTC enforcement posture as this legal battle unfolds across multiple states.

BTCETH
BEAR10h ago

Bithumb Suspension Threatens Kimchi Premium Signal

South Korea's KOFIU has issued Bithumb a preliminary six-month partial suspension notice over AML and KYC failures, threatening to reroute retail flows and distort the kimchi premium. With Upbit and Bithumb controlling roughly 96% of Korean crypto volume, any constraint on either venue carries systemic implications for BTC/KRW price discovery and offshore perp market signals. Traders should treat the kimchi premium near 1% with caution as structural friction increasingly contaminates the sentiment signal.

BTCETH
BULL13h ago

Across Protocol ACX Surges 80% on DAO-to-Corp Pivot

Across Protocol's ACX token surged 80% to $0.06 on March 12, 2026, after the team proposed dissolving its DAO structure and converting to a U.S. C-corporation. Token holders would receive either equity in the new entity or a USDC buyout at $0.04375, a 25% premium to the prior 30-day average. With 24-hour volume at 3.5x market cap, the move is being traded as an event-driven buyout play, with the governance Snapshot vote scheduled for March 26 as the key binary risk event.

ACXBTCETH
BULL13h ago

SEC-CFTC Coordination Pact: What It Means for Crypto

The SEC and CFTC have signed a coordination MOU establishing joint rulemaking and oversight frameworks for digital assets, including a dedicated crypto classification workstream. For derivatives traders, the agreement reduces the tail risk of ad hoc regulatory reclassification events and sets the structural conditions for institutional OI expansion in BTC and ETH perp markets. Near-term market impact is limited, but the downstream implications for altcoin funding rates and institutional liquidity flows are material.

BTCETHSOLADA
BEAR14h ago

Kalshi Sues Iowa to Block Sports Contract Crackdown

Kalshi filed a preemptive federal lawsuit against Iowa's Attorney General and gaming regulators after the state declined to rule out enforcement action against its sports event contracts. The case adds to an already fragmented legal landscape, with federal courts split on whether CFTC jurisdiction preempts state gambling law. For crypto derivatives traders, sustained prediction market restrictions could redirect retail speculative flow into BTC and ETH perp markets, affecting open interest and funding dynamics.

BTCETH
BULL15h ago

Metaplanet Launches $25M Venture Arm for Bitcoin

Metaplanet has launched Metaplanet Ventures K.K., committing ¥4 billion ($25.2M) over two to three years to fund Bitcoin infrastructure startups in Japan ahead of an anticipated regulatory reclassification of BTC by January 2028. The firm — already the fourth-largest corporate BTC holder with 35,102 coins — maintains its core accumulation target of 210,000 BTC by end-2027. For perp traders, the initiative signals a sustained structural bid in spot markets with no BTC liquidation risk attached to the venture funding.

BTCETH
BEAR16h ago

DOJ Probes Binance Again Over Iran Sanctions Links

The DOJ is reportedly investigating Binance over alleged Iran-linked crypto flows totaling approximately $1.7 billion, less than three years after the exchange's $4.3 billion U.S. settlement. BNB perpetual markets carry elevated tail risk given Binance's direct brand exposure, while BTC perps remain largely insulated at current dominance levels. Traders should monitor open interest shifts, funding rate changes, and volume migration across venues as leading indicators of institutional repositioning.

BTCBNBETH
—16h ago

XRP Open Interest Crashes 78% as ETF Holders Hold Firm

XRP open interest has collapsed 78% from its July 2025 peak of $10.94 billion to $2.40 billion, clearing most speculative leverage from the market. Despite a 55% price decline to $1.37, over $1.4 billion in ETF holdings and significant whale exchange outflows signal that longer-duration holders remain committed. For perp traders, the deleveraging cycle reduces liquidation cascade risk and sets conditions for a potential spot-driven recovery.

XRPBTCETH
BEAR16h ago

Samourai Wallet Dev Keonne Rodriguez: 30 Days In Prison

Samourai Wallet co-founder Keonne Rodriguez has published his fourth letter from FPC Morgantown federal prison, marking 31 days into a 60-month sentence. The case — centered on whether non-custodial software developers constitute unlicensed money transmitters — carries significant regulatory implications for Bitcoin privacy infrastructure and derivatives market volatility. Traders should monitor the case's appellate trajectory as a potential catalyst for BTC funding rate shifts and privacy altcoin positioning.

BTCXMRZECETH
BULL17h ago

Wall Street Prime Brokers Eye Kalshi Prediction Markets

Clear Street and Marex Group are moving to open institutional access to Kalshi's prediction markets, with the first cleared trade expected by late March. The development signals growing hedge fund demand for event-driven instruments and carries implications for how institutional desks manage macro risk — including potential effects on BTC and ETH perpetual funding rates and open interest dynamics. Regulatory ambiguity between the CFTC and SEC remains the primary risk overhang for the sector.

BTCETH
BULL18h ago

Ripple $750M Buyback: XRP Perp Market Impact

Ripple has launched a share buyback program of up to $750 million at a $50 billion valuation, a 25% premium over its November 2024 fundraising round. For XRP derivatives traders, the move reinforces bullish corporate sentiment but does not directly inject liquidity into perp markets. With XRP down roughly 62% from its all-time high and open interest subdued, the news could shift funding rates and trigger positioning adjustments across major venues.

XRPBTCETH
—19h ago

Ripple's $750M Buyback: What It Means for XRP Perps

Ripple Labs is executing a $750 million share buyback at a $50 billion valuation, even as XRP trades down more than 53% over six months near $1.39. The divergence between Ripple's rising private valuation and XRP's declining spot price creates a nuanced setup for derivatives traders, particularly around funding rates and short squeeze risk. Ripple's regulatory expansion — including an OCC bank charter and RLUSD crossing $1 billion in market cap — adds medium-term structural context but does not resolve near-term bearish price momentum.

XRPBTCETH
BULL19h ago

SEC-CFTC Crypto Accord: What It Means for Perp Traders

The SEC and CFTC have signed a memorandum of understanding to coordinate crypto market oversight, adopting a 'minimum effective dose' regulatory philosophy. For perpetual futures traders, the agreement reduces enforcement-driven tail risk and could normalize funding rates on altcoin perps burdened by security classification uncertainty. No binding rules have been issued yet, keeping event-driven volatility elevated around future regulatory announcements.

BTCETH
BULL20h ago

SEC-CFTC Crypto MOU: What It Means for Perp Traders

The SEC and CFTC signed a formal MOU on March 11, 2026, establishing coordinated crypto oversight, unified enforcement sequencing, and a dual-registration pathway. For perpetual futures traders, the development is a medium-term bullish structural signal for BTC and ETH, while increasing enforcement risk for altcoins with unresolved regulatory classification. Regulatory clarity at this level could accelerate institutional participation in U.S.-regulated derivatives venues and compress offshore funding rate premiums over time.

BTCETH
BULL1d ago

Ripple Acquires BC Payments for Australia License

Ripple is acquiring BC Payments Australia to secure an Australian Financial Services License (AFSL), with the deal set to close April 1, 2026. The announcement pushed XRP up roughly 1% to $1.39 with a 37% volume spike and a 0.43% hourly OI increase to $2.40 billion. For perp traders, key levels to watch are $1.44 resistance and $1.38 support, with funding rates currently near neutral.

XRPBTCETH
BEAR1d ago

CLARITY Act Stalls: What Traders Need to Know

The CLARITY Act, the US's primary crypto market structure legislation, remains stalled amid competing interests from the banking sector and crypto industry over stablecoin reward provisions. ABA survey data shows 90% of consumers hold no stablecoins and 42% support banning stablecoin rewards, providing political cover for restrictive measures. For perpetual futures traders, the ongoing legislative impasse represents a structural headwind for open interest growth and institutional participation across major derivatives markets.

BTCETHUSDTUSDC
BEAR1d ago

DEATH BETS Act: Prediction Market Ban Hits Perps

Democratic lawmakers introduced the DEATH BETS Act on March 10, 2026, seeking a statutory ban on prediction market contracts tied to war, assassination, and individual deaths. The bill arrives as CFTC Chairman Selig simultaneously moves to expand the regulatory framework for event contracts, creating policy bifurcation. For crypto derivatives traders, the key risk is regulatory contagion — a more aggressive CFTC posture on event markets could compress open interest and elevate funding rate volatility across geopolitically sensitive perpetuals.

BTCETH
—1d ago

Australia's ASIC: Crypto Is Finance, Not a New Asset Class

Australia's ASIC is integrating crypto into existing financial services law rather than building a bespoke regulatory framework, classifying digital assets by economic function rather than technology. For derivatives traders, this signals higher compliance costs for Australian-licensed venues and a potential medium-term squeeze on locally regulated leveraged products. The regulator's stance on DeFi governance liability also introduces new risk for on-chain perpetual protocols with identifiable controlling parties.

BTCETH
BULL1d ago

BTC Options Signal $80K Rally Bet by September

Bitcoin options skew has rebounded sharply from February's -25% panic lows to approximately +10%, with on-chain data from Derive.xyz showing a 35% probability of BTC breaking $80K by end of June 2026. Put-writing activity has surged across major venues, signaling traders are willing to absorb downside risk — a posture consistent with expectations of stabilizing or rising prices. For perpetual futures traders, this shift points to potential funding rate normalization, short squeeze risk, and a grind-higher macro setup targeting the $80K–$90K range between June and September.

BTCETH
BULL1d ago

Strategy Adds 17,994 BTC; DOGE, XRP Eye Rebounds

Strategy acquired 17,994 BTC for $1.28B at an average of $70,946, bringing total holdings to 738,731 BTC — a structural spot bid with direct implications for BTC perpetual funding rates and open interest. DOGE saw an 87% volume surge driven by derivatives activity, while XRP is compressing near $1.34 ahead of a potential directional break.

BTCDOGEXRP
BULL1d ago

XRP Perp Markets: Can $1.40 Hold as Catalysts Build?

XRP is consolidating near $1.40 as post-SEC lawsuit clarity, RLUSD launch, and Ripple's banking infrastructure moves reshape the asset's institutional profile. Perpetual futures traders face elevated long-side open interest and moderately positive funding rates, creating asymmetric liquidation risk around key support and resistance levels. Event-driven volatility from the Clarity Act and ETF developments remains the primary near-term catalyst to monitor.

XRPBTCETH
—1d ago

Solana ETFs Pull $540M From Institutions in Q4

Institutional investors held over $540 million in US spot Solana ETFs by end of Q4 2024, representing 50% of total AUM, per 13F filings analyzed by Bloomberg's James Seyffart. Despite a 30%+ decline in SOL from Q4 cost basis levels, ETF inflows have remained steady — a dynamic with direct implications for SOL perpetual funding rates and open interest. Q1 2025 filing data due in mid-May will be the next key signal for derivatives traders assessing institutional conviction.

SOLBTCETH
BULL1d ago

Ripple Pursues Australian License via BC Payments Deal

Ripple is pursuing an Australian Financial Services License through the acquisition of BC Payments, which would place the firm inside Australia's regulated financial framework and formalize its APAC payment operations. APAC payments volume nearly doubled year-over-year in 2025, giving the move commercial credibility beyond regulatory optics. For XRP perpetual traders, the key watchpoints are funding rate behavior post-approval, open interest expansion relative to price, and emerging stablecoin competition that could limit Ripple's domestic market share.

XRPXLMBTCETH
BEAR1d ago

BIS Flags Self-Custody Wallets as AML Risk Vector

The BIS has published a working paper warning that tighter AML rules on hosted crypto wallets could push illicit flows toward self-custodied wallets, citing a structural 'waterbed effect' in regulatory arbitrage. The paper highlights the EU's CASP framework as a case study and notes that self-custodied crypto faces no transaction limits comparable to cash. For perp traders, the key risks are funding rate compression, open interest drawdowns in privacy-adjacent assets, and potential liquidity shocks from exchange delistings.

BTCETHXMR
BULL1d ago

Bitcoin Reclaims $70K as Iran War Risk Fades

Bitcoin recovered above $70,000 after a geopolitically-driven flush to the low-$60,000s, as Iran conflict fears partially eased and Brent crude reversed sharply from its $119.50 peak. Derivatives data shows a short-squeeze dynamic drove much of the recovery, with open interest rebuilding and ETF inflows confirming institutional buying into weakness. The episode looks more like a positioning shock than a structural trend break, though re-escalation risk remains a live variable for perp traders.

BTCETH
BEAR1d ago

ETH Funding Rate Goes Negative: Bears Tighten Grip

ETH perpetual futures funding rates have turned negative and remained below the neutral 6%–12% annualized band for over a month, signaling sustained bearish positioning. Spot ETH ETFs recorded $225 million in net outflows over a five-day window, while native staking yields at 2.8% continue to lag stablecoin alternatives. Derivatives and on-chain data collectively point to low conviction in any near-term bullish breakout for Ether.

ETHBTC
BEAR1d ago

Kalshi Loses Ohio Court Bid: Perp Market Impact

An Ohio federal court denied Kalshi's motion for a preliminary injunction against state gambling regulators, ruling that the platform failed to prove federal commodities law preempts Ohio's sports gambling statutes. The decision undermines CFTC Chair Selig's claim of exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets and adds to Kalshi's growing multi-state legal exposure. For crypto derivatives traders, the ruling signals prolonged regulatory uncertainty for prediction market-adjacent tokens and could suppress open interest and funding rates in related perpetual markets.

BTCETH
BULL1d ago

BitGo Custody Deal Signals Stablecoin Treasury Push

BitGo has secured a custody and OTC trading mandate for StableX Technologies' planned $100M stablecoin infrastructure treasury, with disclosed holdings already including LINK and FLUID. The deal signals a shift in institutional treasury strategy beyond Bitcoin, with direct implications for altcoin perp funding rates and open interest dynamics. Against a backdrop of $314B in stablecoin market cap, infrastructure-layer tokens are increasingly attracting structured institutional buying.

BTCETHLINKSOL
—2d ago

Altseason Watch: BTC Leads as Alts Hit Cycle Lows

Bitcoin's recovery above $71,000 has yet to trigger meaningful capital rotation into altcoins, with 36.8% of altcoins trading near all-time lows and only 4.59% of Binance-listed tokens above their 200-day SMA. The ETH/BTC pair remains in a descending channel, and TOTAL2 is testing critical 200-week moving average support near $900 billion. Perpetual futures traders should watch ETH/BTC levels at 0.036 and 0.043 as the primary rotation confirmation triggers before scaling into altcoin perp longs.

BTCETH
BULL2d ago

SEC-CFTC Coordination Shift: What It Means for Crypto

SEC Chair Paul Atkins signaled a move toward coordinated enforcement with the CFTC, describing the era of duplicative regulatory actions as over. The shift carries direct implications for altcoin perpetual markets where regulatory classification uncertainty has historically suppressed open interest and amplified volatility. Execution risk remains elevated given thin leadership benches at both agencies and a stalled CLARITY Act in the Senate.

BTCETH
BULL2d ago

Strategy's STRC Fuels 66K BTC Buy: Perp Market Impact

Strategy accumulated 66,231 BTC in 68 days through early March 2026, increasingly funded by STRC preferred stock carrying an 11.50% annual dividend. STRC contributed roughly 33% of the firm's $1.28 billion weekly ATM financing, with single-day issuance hitting record levels. For BTC perp traders, this represents systematic, yield-backed spot demand that could sustain elevated funding rates and compress short setups.

BTCETH
—2d ago

Crypto Hacks Drop to $49M in February 2025

February 2025 crypto exploit losses fell to approximately $49 million, down from $385 million in January, with a single Solana-based breach at Step Finance accounting for $30 million of the total. The shift from smart contract exploits to phishing and authorization abuse attacks reduces the likelihood of single-event liquidation cascades in BTC and ETH perp markets. However, Chainalysis data showing $3.4 billion in 2024 cumulative losses confirms the structural threat remains elevated.

BTCETHSOL
BULL2d ago

Bitwise CIO: BTC at $1M Needs 17% SoV Market Share

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan argues Bitcoin can reach $1 million per coin if the global store-of-value market expands to $121 trillion within a decade and BTC captures 17% of that market. The thesis rests on institutional adoption acceleration and macroeconomic conditions that historically drive SoV demand. For derivatives traders, the framework has direct implications for long-term BTC open interest trends, funding rate dynamics, and relative positioning versus altcoin perp markets.

BTCETH
—2d ago

Polymarket Partners Palantir to Combat Prediction Market Manipulation

Polymarket has partnered with Palantir and TWG AI to build a trade surveillance system targeting manipulation and insider trading in sports prediction markets. The move is a pre-emptive compliance play ahead of anticipated regulatory scrutiny, with implications for how U.S. regulators approach crypto-adjacent event-based trading platforms. For derivatives traders, the development is a modest regulatory risk reducer rather than a direct market catalyst.

BTCETH
—2d ago

SG-FORGE EURCV Hits Stellar: Euro Stablecoin Impact

Societe Generale-FORGE has deployed its MiCA-compliant EURCV stablecoin on Stellar, completing a four-chain expansion that now includes Ethereum, Solana, and the XRP Ledger. With a market cap of approximately $452 million and institutional backing, EURCV represents one of the most structurally credible euro-denominated stablecoins in the market. For derivatives traders, the broader stablecoin market cap surge to $314 billion signals growing on-chain liquidity that historically correlates with elevated funding rates and increased leveraged positioning.

BTCETHXRPSOL
—2d ago

Tokenized Stock Rights Gap: $25B Traded, Zero Ownership

Over $25 billion has traded through crypto stock tokens like Kraken's xStocks that provide zero shareholder rights, voting power, or legal ownership. Nasdaq is now proposing a competing issuer-sponsored model with full legal equivalence, targeting 2027 readiness. The structural divide between rights-heavy and rights-light tokenized equity has direct implications for on-chain collateral quality and altcoin perp volatility.

BTCETHSOL
BULL2d ago

SEC-CFTC Crypto Merger: What Traders Must Know

SEC Chairman Paul Atkins announced on March 10, 2026, that the SEC and CFTC are formalizing crypto regulatory cooperation through a memorandum of understanding, including joint product meetings, coordinated examinations, and shared enforcement decisions. For derivatives traders, the development reduces a key class of regulatory tail risk that has historically suppressed institutional participation in BTC and ETH perpetual markets. Medium-term implications are constructive for open interest depth and funding rate stability, though no immediate price catalyst is present.

BTCETH
—2d ago

Stablecoin Yield Fight: Crypto's Regulatory Gamble

Rick Edelman argues crypto should concede the stablecoin yield debate to avoid derailing the broader Clarity Act, warning that a legislative failure would trigger a sharp but temporary market drawdown. For perp traders, the bill's outcome represents a binary catalyst with direct implications for BTC and ETH funding rates, open interest, and liquidation dynamics. Edelman maintains a long-term BTC target of $500,000 and recommends up to 40% crypto portfolio allocation.

BTCETHSOL
—2d ago

SOL vs XRP ETFs: Institutional vs Retail Divide

Solana ETFs are drawing institutional and crypto-native capital, with roughly 49% of assets identifiable through 13F filings, while XRP ETFs are predominantly retail-held with only 16% disclosed. Compressed SOL futures basis yields are limiting hedge fund arbitrage activity, reducing structural buying support for SOL perps. XRP's retail ownership profile raises liquidation cascade risk in perpetual markets during broad market stress.

SOLXRPBTC
BULL2d ago

Ethereum DVT-Lite: What It Means for ETH Perps

Vitalik Buterin and the Ethereum Foundation are testing DVT-Lite, a simplified distributed validator framework using 72,000 ETH, aimed at lowering institutional staking barriers. For ETH perpetual traders, the key implications are a potential tightening of circulating supply, reduced validator concentration risk, and a long-term structural tailwind — though no immediate liquidation catalyst is present. Traders should track staking inflow data and funding rate trends over the coming months.

ETHLDO
BULL2d ago

Strategy's Record STRC Sale Fuels 1,420 BTC Buy

Strategy executed its largest single-day STRC preferred equity issuance on record, selling approximately 2.4 million shares and generating $378 million to fund an estimated 1,420 BTC purchase. A rule change to its ATM program now allows a second agent to operate during premarket and after-hours sessions, potentially accelerating future capital raises. For perp traders, the sustained spot accumulation below Strategy's $75,862 average cost basis has direct implications for funding rates, liquidation risk, and open interest dynamics.

BTCMSTR
BULL2d ago

CFTC Chair Backs Blockchain Prediction Markets

CFTC Chair Michael Selig publicly endorsed blockchain-based prediction markets as credible price discovery tools and announced plans for clearer crypto asset classification and DeFi developer guidance. The regulatory pivot reduces enforcement tail risk for derivatives markets but state-level legal actions against Kalshi and Polymarket continue to fragment the landscape. Traders should monitor formal guidance timelines before treating this as a confirmed structural shift.

BTCETH
BULL2d ago

B. Riley Bets on MSTR, ASST After BTC's 45% Drop

B. Riley initiated buy ratings on Strategy (MSTR) and Strive (ASST) on March 10, 2026, citing attractive valuations after BTC's 45% decline from $126,000 to $69,000 compressed mNAV premiums across the bitcoin treasury sector. Strategy's shift to a preferred equity financing model could restore its structural BTC spot bid, with implications for perpetual futures funding rates and open interest. MSTR's price target of $175 and ASST's $12 target represent meaningful upside from current levels if bitcoin stabilizes.

BTCETH
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